Cited on HN 3 times, 2015–2022, never outright recommendedscore 0
Years with an HN recommendation, 2007–2026
Used as a reference for the perseverance behind improbable streaks and selective reporting of best runs.
Mathematician singingbanana shows how he flipped ten heads in a row, with the full uncut video and answers to viewers' questions. The point is that unlikely events happen given enough attempts.
It's a little worse than that as there are vast incentives to be that guy with 20 heads so people will record themselves fillping coins over and over then only talk about their best streak. Thus you end up with most companies having an 'above average' streak in a given year even if the average investment does poorly. [this video]
Spot-on predictions! If I predict this coin flip will be heads, and I flip it, and it is heads… does that mean I can predict coin flips? What if I do it three times in a row? What if I do it 10 times in a row? [1] [1]: [this video]
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